It really isn’t that surprising that it would be China to be the most influential country on its way to returning to a currency backed by gold bullion. I mean, they have surpassed us in many other areas, too…education, exports, etc. I doubt that the fact that they are worried about the value of their dollar reserves affects the United States in any way, but it should. Nobody wants dollars! They are the real asset that does not gain anything.
Since 1978 (commencement of China’s Reform Era), the Chinese have been exporting more goods than importing which has permitted the country to hoard trillions of dollars. They have so much that it is equal to our complete monetary base totaled before the latest financial predicament. The Chinese have their own way of doing things and whether we agree or not, nobody cares. The process by which they have accumulated so many dollars is that when a Chinese business makes money by selling their goods across the seas, it is stipulated by their government that they give the earnings to the country’s central bank which is the People’s Bank of China (PBOC). They, in turn, receive the Yuan at a fixed rate.
The two countries didn’t trade much at the beginning, for example, in 1980, China’s foreign currency reserves were roughly $2.5 billion. And, now, the amount of foreign currency reserves that are stored by the Chinese government is a whopping $3.2 trillion, translating into a gain of 127,900%.
It is the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) in China that manages those foreign reserves. They are currently in an all out currency feud with the United States. Their purpose, for the moment, is to produce a novel leading world currency and remove the US dollar from its current reserve position. But they have a very big obstacle confronting them which is how to rid themselves of all the dollars they have. So they are purchasing US government securities and, because of this, have now accrued an enormous heap of US government debt. Indeed, about two-thirds of China’s reserves continue to be invested in US Treasury bills, notes, and bonds with the next largest block in the euro. And because of the Fed’s near to zero rates, all this money is essentially earning nothing in terms of interest rates.
In reality, the Chinese are now in a jam with all their US dollars. They are very aware that if they begin selling their US government bonds, it would push their value much lower. Then they experimented with the US stock market and their result was less than worthy with the great amounts of US equities they purchased just before the market commenced its downward spiral at the end of 2007. Morgan Stanley and Blackstone Group were firms in which the Chinese went into at about 10% and they have lost 70% and 46%, respectively. The US stock market is no longer appealing to the Chinese. Inflation is now their only worry and SAFE has made it clear that they will never be a speculator again while their only function from now on will be to guard the security of China’s foreign exchange reserves and guarantee a steady investment profit.
Now that they are not buying stocks and their only apprehension is inflation, how will they hedge that risk? Their answer is to dive into the gold market and take over. And with this action they are on their way to accruing massive amounts of gold that in the near future, they will have enough to re-establish the convertibility of their currency into a precious metal. They were on a silver standard in the early 1900s.
Things were different back then. They weren’t as respected as they are now. They are presently growing at an accelerated speed and are also in possession of the biggest cash reserves in the world. So it only corresponds that they will also have a currency sustained by the safest and most secure asset, gold. China would very much like to be one of the world’s most transcendent nations along with having the greatest currency as their own.
Today’s central banks rely on the printing press which is why China stands out amongst them because their way of achieving greatness will be by backing its currency with something much better than forsaken pledges. The Chinese know the power of gold bullion…do you?